Quotes from Thinking, Fast and Slow

By Daniel Kahneman (2011)

• Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.#
  Psychology
• Because adherence to standard operating procedures is difficult to second-guess, decision makers who expect to have their decisions scrutinized with hindsight are driven to bureaucratic solutions – and to an extreme reluctance to take risks.#
  Politics
• Adaptation to a new situation, whether good or bad, consists in large part of thinking less and less about it.#
  Psychology

Phillip Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment: How Good is It? How Can We Know? (2005)

• We reach the point of diminishing marginal predictive returns for knowledge disconcertingly quickly.#
  Epistemology